Are you expecting to see level 5 autonomous driving (i.e. true driverless cars) in your lifetime? It’s not going to happen. This well-researched article explains why. Here are some excerpts:
Over the past several years, there has been a growing belief that AI is a limitless, mystical force that it is (or will soon be) able to supersede humans and solve any problem.
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The current hype in AI is immensely reminiscent of what took place during the boom phase of the first AI hype cycle between 1956 and 1973.
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[W]e remain as unsure as ever as to how to create a machine that truly imitates intelligent life and how to endow it with “intuition” or “common sense” or the ability to perform several tasks well (like humans).
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As John McCarthy noted in 1977, creating a human-like AI computer will require, “conceptual breakthroughs,” because, “what you want is 1.7 Einsteins and 0.3 of the Manhattan Project, and you want the Einsteins first. I believe it’ll take 5 to 500 years”. His statement seems to be just as applicable now, over forty years later.
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